LAFC are listed as Week 5 s biggest favorites at -200 odds at home to Dallas. Philly, Austin, RSL and San Jose are also odds-on home favorites this week. MLS odds from March 24 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
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MLS Predictions Week 5
This is a dicey week when it comes to MLS best bets. With a bevy of international competitions taking place there are a lot of players missing from many teams. Be sure to check the and the starting lineups on Saturday before making your bets.
The lists are long but in summary: Atlanta is missing a lot, including Thiago Almada. Austin is down another defender, Charlotte is out Karol Swiderski, a Colorado team that already can t score is out Diego Rubio and Darren Yapi, Miami is out Josef Martinez, LAFC Denis Bouanga, the Galaxy Dejan Joveljic, Minnesota nearly their entire starting lineup, seven players each for Orlando and Philly, a host of starters for Seattle, a mass exodus of Canadian national teamers for TFC and Andres Cubas for the Whitecaps.
There are more, but there s a recap.
Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC Prediction
Real Salt Lake is next up for the surprisingly undefeated expansion side St. Louis City SC.
No one could ve predicted that St Louis would be 4-0-0 after 3-2, 3-1, 2-1 and 3-0 wins to start the year. They are the league s first expansion team to be undefeated after their first four games. That they ve also scored multiple goals in each game, while only conceding four is equally impressive. St. Louis may have some lucky goals and are overachieving when it comes to xG at just 6.6 compared to 11 goals scored, but that 6.6 is still the third-highest in the league.
St Louis has put the second-most shots on target in the league, have created the third-most goal-creating actions per 90 and defensively have by far the most tackles of any team in the league with 104. The next closest is Columbus with 84. This is a hard-working team that is creating turnovers and opportunities to score.
After an initial 2-1 win in Vancouver, RSL have suffered 2-0 and 2-1 losses to Seattle and Austin in their past two. They were the team on bye last week so they ll be coming into Week 5 fresh having been off for two weeks.
Dating back into last season RSL has now allowed a goal in each of their past eight games and in 15 of 17. They have scored themselves though in 12 of those 17. At home, they ve scored in 8/10 and in 25 of 28.
MLS Predictions: Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC Both Teams to Score Over 2.5 (+110), risk 1 unit at Bet365
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A perfect blend of players looking to prove a point and make their mark in MLS.
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Toronto FC Prediction
It s a late one on the West coast for Toronto (1-2-1) as they travel to San Jose (2-0-2) at 10:30 pm EST.
TFC snapped a streak of nine games dating back to last season without a win when they defeated Miami 2-0 at home. It was an encouraging sign for a team performing below expectations who were playing without Lorenzo Insigne and who got goals from two players not named Federico Bernardeschi (he did get two assists though). It was also the first clean sheet they ve kept since August 27 (nine games).
The Earthquakes were the latest victims of St. Louis falling 3-0 on the road in Week 4. They were missing some key players and had scored in each of their previous three games.
These were two of the three worst defensive teams last season in goals allowed. Neither have looked exceptionally better so far in 2023 allowing a goal in three of their four games each. If you look at each team s opponent final third touches, Toronto (27th) and San Jose (24th) each rank bottom six.
Both teams will be missing some key players due to international duty. For San Jose, Jamiro Monteiro (M) and Miguel Trauco (D). And for Toronto, Ayo Akinola (F), Mark-Anthony-Kaye (M), Jonathan Osorio (M) and Richie Laryea (D). The Earthquakes are also down Carlos Gruezo (M), while TFC is missing Insigne, both injured.
Last year the teams tied 2-2 in Toronto and while the missing players are a cause for concern I can still see this one being sloppy and resulting in a few goals.
MLS Predictions: San Jose Earthquake vs Toronto FC Both Teams to Score Over 2.5 (+100), risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
